From the outside in

Friday, December 31, 2010

How Space Jam’s Website Went Viral. Space Jam’s 1996 Website, That Is.

via TechCrunch by Alexia Tsotsis on 12/31/10

A couple of days ago Reddit user Jeff Ubelhor was talking to his friends about something or other and Space Jam, the movie starring Bugs Bunny and Michael Jordan, came up (he swears they weren’t stoned). They checked on the website and realized that it hadn’t been touched since 1996. “From there I decided to post it on Reddit,” says Ubelhor “Because I thought it was hilarious, not only the design, but just how different Internet marketing was 14 years ago.”

The rest is Internet meme history. On December 29th, artist, professor and FAT Labs member Steve Lambert was given a link to the site by a student in his Hacking 101 class, posted it to the FAT Labs email list and tweeted it out as “The original Warner Brothers “Space Jam” movie website has been left untouched since 1996,“ his one time student, Buzzfeed founder and most viral human alive Jonah Peretti retweeted it, without giving him credit.

Both tweets were retweeted hundreds of times and the next thing you know Lambert was receiving emails like this:

From: “XXXXX”
Date: December 29, 2010 4:23:21 PM EST
To:

Subject: CBC News: SpaceJam tweet

Hi Steve,

I’m a reporter/anchor with CBC TV news in Toronto. Your SpaceJam tweet was trending locally for a couple of hours in Toronto, and was spread widely through our office. We’re going to a bit about it on our local supperhour newscast tonight.

Just wondering, do I credit you (through one of your students) as the originator of the tweet? Any comments on how many retweets you’ve generated?

Thanks,

XXXXX

And it wasn’t only Canadian TV stations that showed an interest. Since the Reddit post the site has been picked up by Buzzfeed (obviously), Huffington Post, Boing Boing, Geekosystem, Yahoo Sports, Slashfilm and countless others. Sister blog Urlesque, taking the phenomenon as evidence of a resurgence in interest in old movie sites, just published a post called “Old Official Movie Sites – Titanic, Air Bud, Event Horizon and More.” Sigh.

The original Reddit thread has over 2015 votes and 686 comments, including such meta and self-aware gems as “I wonder if we’re DDOSing a weakling 1996 server in an abandoned building somewhere right now” and “Browsing this on my droid x while moving 70mph. 1996 just shit their pants.”

Since Peretti and Lambert’s tweets, the bit.ly link has received over 57K total clicks, over 40K in one day. And that is just clicks on the link Peretti tweeted out which are nowhere near the traffic the site probably got all in all.  Peretti estimates that the Space Jam site could easily have garnered around 500K views since hitting the front page of Reddit shortly after midnight on Wednesday morning, and gleaning from my web editorial experience I’m pretty sure that number is in the right ballpark. I’ve reached out to Warner Bros for the exact traffic stats.

A lot changes in 14 years and some things don’t. While the site’s original designer Jen Braun is “still working on the web,” Assistant to the Designer Andrew Strachler is now VP of Interactive Marketing at Warner Bros.

In 2010, computers are faster, monitors are thinner, social networking has exploded and we are now browsing the web on our mobile phones, among other things. But we’re all still staring at this silly looking website from 1996.

You could just chalk up this week’s explosion of the Space Jam site to an extremely slow holiday news cycle, but it’s much more than that. We’re now in the very last hours of the most fast-paced decade ever technology-wise, and that is a little scary. In this era of Word Lens and Self-Driving Cars, perhaps some of us are more than a little nostalgic for simpler times when having a website, no matter how bad, was an achievement in itself.”


Posted via email from The New Word Order

Happy New Year, you gorgeous creatures! Now enjoy these awesome fireworks…

via The Reid Report by jreid on 12/31/10

As you can see, in the spirit of American exceptionalism, I’ve outsourced the fireworks to Asia …

Anyway, a big Thank you to TRR’s fabulous and brilliant readers, who made 2010 our best year ever in terms of traffic (we even busted our server in July and had to move to fancier digs.) Big ups to everyone who checks in to this site every day — or even every once in a while — to get your political news and analysis fix, and to all the campaigns who actually talked to me, believe it or not, this election season (even when I criticized you) and to my bestest blogging buddies, including Peter Schorsch, Steve Schale and my new Twitter guru Shoq (plus all the too cool for words people I’ve befriended on Twitter this year. Where else can you hang with people named “BrokePimpStyles” and “McMuffinofDoom” who actually have serious shit to say?) And I must large up my fam at the Miami Herald and at MSNBÇ (and CNBC) who put me and my always contentious hair on the tellie, which didn’t hurt the web hits either.

This was a great year in politics, in an historic period in our history — with the first Black president, and a country that just survived a near second Great Depression.

2011 promises to be stranger and more exciting still. So fasten your seat belts, and think at your own risk. Champagne!

Oh, and since I categorically hate top 10 lists, I’ll throw it over to Neon Tommy, who has like, all the ones that matter. Cheers!

Posted via email from The New Word Order

Audit The Fed: A Success through Transpartisan Activism

via Firedoglake by masaccio on 12/31/10

FDL and its community of activists put a great deal of energy into pushing for passage of a bill requiring the Fed to report on the many bailout programs it adopted. The Fed resisted, aided by the Obama Administration. Jane discussed some of the politics and the work of the coalition here. The bill passed the Senate 96-0. After that vote, the Administration and the Fed were terrified, and piled on the pressure. Eventually Senator Bernie Sanders gave in and a weakened version was folded into the Senate version of the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill. The house resisted and additional provisions were inserted into the compromise.

The victory was important for two reasons. First, the Fed had been invincible despite its incompetence or dereliction in the years preceding the Great Crash. Second, the victory was earned by a coalition that spanned the political spectrum of activists, from libertarians through the uncategorizable Michelle Bachman, to the professional left, including Jamie Galbraith, Richard Trumpka and Andy Stern.

We supported this bill because we thought it would help us to understand the scope of the efforts of the government to salvage banksters from their gambling and theft. The libertarians and others from the right shared that view. The leader of the right, Representative Ron Paul, wanted a detailed and on-going audit of the Fed to aid in his quest to end the Fed. I, for one, don’t share that goal. I just want the Fed to work for all Americans, not just the giant finance companies and the hyper-rich people who control them. Our interests aligned on the need for transparency and the need to audit the activities of the Fed, if not on Paul’s ultimate goal, so working together made good sense.

The Fed reported on the usage of its many programs on December 1. You can see those results for yourself here. The initial release of data did not cause a market crash, as the scaremongers from the opposition predicted. It did show that an enormous amount of money was transferred to Wall Street.

There were interesting nuggets. Remember Steve Schwartzman, billionaire co-founder of hedge fund BlackRock, which went public in 2007 at $31 per share? Schwartzman is the guy who compared the effort to get rid of a huge tax break for him and his fellow hedge fund managers to the “Nazi invasion of Poland”? BlackRock entities, about 110 of them, used the Temporary Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility to raise $2.8 billion. They used this cheap money to buy asset backed securities, like auto loans and credit card receivables. The Wall Street Journal reports that these purchases resulted in gains as high as 48%, and that returns in the 20-40% range were common. The Sunlight Foundation explains how the subsidy worked:

Bank of America was able to take advantage of the program by not only selling its assets through the program, but also to profit from non-recourse loans made to BlackRock, in which BofA has a seven percent ownership interest. BlackRock received $2.7 billion in loans from the TALF program to purchase assets. At the same time, Bank of America was also able to sell assets through the program to various investors that received more than $2 billion in federally-backed loans in order to do so. In total, $4.8 billion in loans benefited BofA.

Not only will Bank of America potentially profit from the subsidy BlackRock received from the Fed, but it was also able to increase its liquidity by selling its assets to other subsidized borrowers. According to the New York Times, “Federal auditors worried about firms like BlackRock, warning that such firms could use federally guaranteed loans to overpay for assets, creating a potential conflict of interest.”

The Fed took almost all the risk, and there was no reason to cut Schwartzman and his ilk in on the massive profits. But for Schwartzman, massive gifts from the Fed are the natural order of things. HIgher income taxes, on the other hand, are warfare. BlackRock stock was $14.28 when I checked today. The list of Fed beneficiaries will, if nothing else, add new ammunition to our capitalist hypocrisy posts.

Even the Wall Street Journal was grudgingly impressed:

The release of this data on some 21,000 Fed transactions over the last three years is one of the rare useful provisions in Dodd-Frank, but kudos to our favorite Socialist for demanding it.

It made important admissions:

We learn, for example, that the cream of Wall Street received even more multibillion-dollar assistance than previously advertised by either the banks or the Fed. Goldman Sachs used the Primary Dealer Credit Facility 85 times to the tune of nearly $600 billion. Even in Washington, that’s still a lot of money. Morgan Stanley used the same overnight lending program 212 times from March 2008 to March 2009. This news makes it impossible to argue that either bank would have survived the storm without the Fed’s cash.

It’s fun to be right, and it’s fun to win. It’s also fun to produce information that embarrasses the Lords of Finance, who got free money from the Fed and jumped into the gutter to scoop up dimes from their wounded brethren.

In 2011 we’re beginning a new chapter with the FDL Writers Foundation – a new non-profit designed to support the work of talented journalists covering the issues you care about most, like financial reform and Fed transparency. Donate $25 to the FDL Writers Foundation today.

Share This icon 

Posted via email from The New Word Order

There's a jungle inside Vietnam's mammoth cavern. A skyscraper could fit too...

LOLZ: The Best Internet Memes Of The Decade

via Technology on HuffingtonPost.com by The Huffington Post on 12/31/10

The New York Times describes an Internet meme as "an idea, image, catchphrase or video that goes viral, mutating via amateur remixes into unexpected forms." Over the past ten years, as we've seen the rise of new means of sharing content, like YouTube, Twitter, and Facebook, the outpouring of memes has been staggering.

From pranks and parodies, to pithy one-liners and oddball photographs, netizens have dished up and passed around a fair share of hilarity over the past ten years.

We've patched together a slideshow of the very best memes from 2001 through 2010. Take a look through the collection of fails, kittehs, tossed shoes, Jedi moves, lip-synching, teen angst and enough angry Hitler to make you ROFL into next week. Did we miss one? Send us your favorite meme from the decade by clicking "Add a slide." Then, watch a compilation of the best viral videos of 2010.

Posted via email from The New Word Order

How We Speak English In North America

via The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan by Andrew Sullivan on 12/31/10

by Conor Friedersdorf

A sprawling map tells the story – delve into it for a moment or an hour. (Note to the producers at This American Life: this would seem to present an amazing opportunity for a radio adaptation.)

Email this Article Add to digg Add to Reddit Add to Twitter Add to del.icio.us Add to StumbleUpon Add to Facebook

Posted via email from The New Word Order

A Disconnect between cell phone fears and science|Lorne Trottier|Science-Bas...

via TheNESS Blog Feed on 12/31/10

Disconnect: The Truth About Cell Phone Radiation, What the Industry Has Done to Hide It, and How to Protect Your Family by Devra Davis, PhD is touted as a book about the issue of cell phones and health. It is instead a tract that conspiracy theorists will love that sheds no objective light on the often confusing scientific data in this area. The tag line on the jacket sets the tone: The truth about cell phone radiation. What the industry has done to hide it, and how to protect your family. In the area of EMF and health, there are a certain number of studies that appear to find biological “effects”. This is perfect fodder for alarmists like Davis, who ignore the fact that virtually none of these “effects” have been reproduced in follow up studies. If you were expecting an objective review of the often confusing scientific data in this area, you should avoid this book.

Disconnect focuses almost exclusively on studies that support its alarmist conclusions while either ignoring or falsifying information about studies showing no harm. The quality of scientific studies varies greatly. Disconnect is highly selective and totally biased in discussing only studies that support its point of view, it rejects contrary studies accepted by the majority of mainstream scientists as the product of some vast conspiracy, and it completely misstates the findings of key studies that find no harm from cell phones. She interviewed only a relatively small group of dissident scientists who are outside of the mainstream. The book is completely lacking in objectivity.

Major Factual Misstatements

There are so many things wrong in Disconnect that it is difficult to know where to begin. We will start by reviewing a few of the most blatant examples of how it misrepresents key findings of some of the most important cell phone studies.

Basic physics

Early in Disconnect, Davis gets some facts on basic physics wrong. On P. 17 she states: Electromagnetic waves ability to travel depends on how long they are. The faster a wave oscillates and the smaller it is, the shorter the distance it can reach. Hello, did she check with NASA? The Voyageur 1 is the most distant man made object. After doing a Grand Tour of the outer planets in the 70s and 80s, its still operating at a distance of 17 billion km. Travelling at the speed of light, it takes 15.4 hours for its signals to reach earth. Its transmitter operates in the X band at approximately 5X the frequency of a cell phone, and at 19W or only roughly 100X the power of a cell phone. A first year physics student could tell her that all electromagnetic waves follow the inverse square law. The frequency has no effect on distance.

Interphone & cell phone use for 10+ years

Davis only discusses a handful of the thousands of studies that find no harm from either EMF or cell phones. She gets some critical facts about these studies completely wrong. A prime example is the claim by Davis that all studies that have looked at cell phone use for a period of more than 10 years have found an increased risk of brain cancer. P 193 But when you look at those few studies that included people who had used phones for a decade or more, the results show that heavy cell phone use causes brain tumors. If you consider all of the studies that have been published, most of them have not followed people for a decade. But if you examine only those studies that have analyzed people for a decade or longer you find one thing: Every single one of them shows that long-term heavy use of cell phones has increased the risks of brain tumors.

This is totally false; several important studies find no harm. All of the studies that Davis refers to are a particular type of case control study. The case control studies she cites are considered much less reliable because they depend on memory to assess past exposure. People diagnosed with brain cancer and healthy controls respond to a questionnaire in which they are asked to remember how much they used their cell phones. Recall is known to yield different estimates than actual phone records. In addition, because people who have had cancer have heard about the potential link to cell phones, they are more likely to err by reporting higher exposure than controls. Therefore such studies are subject to a limitation called recall bias. Davis does not even mention this key weakness.

Most of the 10 year plus studies that Davis refers to were the work of a single Swedish researcher, Dr. Lennart Hardell. His methods have been widely criticized. Most of the others were components of the Interphone study (* 12). Some of the individual components of Interphone were released prior to the final comprehensive report. Contrary to Davis claim, not all of these found increased cancer risk for 10+ years. The final conclusion of the Interphone study is important: “Overall, no increase in risk of glioma or meningioma was observed with use of mobile phones. There were suggestions of an increased risk of glioma at the highest exposure levels, but biases and error prevent a causal interpretation. The possible effects of long-term heavy use of mobile phones require further investigation.” In the text, the authors discuss the considerable evidence for recall bias that they found during the study. The overall conclusion of no increase in risk is the key finding.

Misstating Key Danish cell phone study

One of the most important studies on cell phones was a Danish study of 420,000 cell phone users (*13). It was a cohort study, not a case control study. Exposure was assessed based entirely on actual cell phone records. It also used actual medical records to verify the diagnosis. Such studies do not suffer from any recall bias. Because it is based on objective data, it carries much more weight than memory based case control studies. While this particular study has other possible limitations, it is one of the few that is based on actual hard data.

Davis gets most of the major facts about this key study completely wrong. For example on Page 193 she says it included only two cases that had used a phone for a decade. The real number of users for a decade or more was 53,204 (42,549 for 10 – 14 years, 10,655 for 15 21) years. No increase in brain cancer or any other illness was reported for any class of cell phone users including the long term users.

On P 182 She says: All of us have cell phone bills that provide detailed records of our use; and most of these can be accessed online. These were not used in this study, or in any study of the industry to date. This is also false. In the U.S. this information is private and confidential and to date has not been available to interested researchers. The Danish study used cell phone records to establish the number of years of use of a cell phone for each of the 420,000 individuals in the study. The authors obtained the approval of the required Danish government agencies such as the Danish Data Protection Board to protect the privacy of the information. The study was entirely based on record linkage.

Brain cancer trends & her unpublished result

Another example of a major falsehood in the book is the section she calls My Unpublished Result. She says: Papers showing no increase in the overall brain cancer rate adjusted to the entire population have been published, while those taking a more sophisticated look at growing rates of brain tumors in young persons remain under review. Davis claims she has unpublished results showing brain cancer is increasing in young adults. Technically these time trend data may have limitations. For example, in the 70s and mid 80s new technology led to apparent increased rates of brain cancer, due to better diagnostic equipment.

However, since the mid 80s, which happens to coincide with the introduction of cell phones, overall brain cancer incidence rates have been constant. Contrary to what Davis claims, at least 4 studies (* 14, 15, 16, 17) have been published for brain cancer by age group. None shows any significant increase for any age or sex group that can be linked to cell phones. For example, another Danish study (* 17) looked at incidence rates by age group in 5 Northern European countries. No significant change in brain cancer rates were found for any age group. A recent US study came to a similar conclusion (* 15). In science, unpublished results rank lower that self published articles, which are at least published.

Brain cancer is one of the rarest forms of cancer. For example it ranks at #15 in Canada. There are more that 4 billion cell phones in use worldwide. The absence of any change in the incidence of brain cancer is the simplest evidence against any connection with cell phones. Davis mangled commentary on these brain cancer studies are the most blatant examples of the many misstatements in Disconnect.

Bad science and sowing confusion

Defending scientific misconduct

She devotes a whole chapter of the book to defending Dr. Hugo Rudiger, who was found guilty of scientific fraud; the most serious offense in science. Rudiger had published a couple of papers purporting to show that cell phone radiation can damage DNA. If true, this would be quite serious. A couple of other scientists reviewed the data in his paper and found compelling statistical evidence that critical parts of the data were cooked (Lerchl et al. *6 ). An attempt to reproduce Rudigers experiments found no DNA damage (Speit et al. *7 ). The University of Vienna held two inquiries and found that Rudiger was guilty of scientific misconduct and recommended that the papers be withdrawn. Davis spins these damning facts into an elaborate whodunit claiming that Rudiger was the victim of an elaborate conspiracy and frame-up. This is simply not credible.

Mens fertility

Davis devotes another chapter to the assertion that cell phone radiation affects male fertility. On P. 140 she states: A report from researchers (*8).garnered headlines around the world, such as Cell Phones Lower Sperm Count. On P. 141 she continues with The Cleveland researchers referred to their results, in the customary voice of science, as preliminary, and duly called for more research. Despite this caution, she proceeds to tie together a handful of disparate sperm studies to back up her sensational claim that cell phones reduce male fertility.

She ignores the fact that all of the studies she cites have been criticized for poor methodology, and some have failed attempts at replication (9, 10). In its 2009 assessment Health Effects of Exposure to EMF, the European SCENIHR (5 P 32 – 33) had this to say: The authors reported (*8) that reduced sperm quality was associated with duration of daily exposure to mobile phones assessed by interview and with duration of use of mobile phones assessed by questionnaire. However, possible confounding due to lifestyle differences (associated with differences in the use of mobile phones) may have biased the results of both studies. Davis sums up her case with this bold claim on P. 146 We must remember that we live in a world in which some continue to believe evolution itself is a sort of preliminary theory.

SAM the standard head

Davis devotes large sections of the book to SAM (specific anthropomorphic mannequin), the model head that was developed by international standards bodies (IEEE and IEC) and is used by cell phone manufacturers to test and certify compliance with RF exposure safety limits. This limit, which is known as the SAR (specific absorption rate), is set at 1.6W/kg averaged over 1 gram of body tissue in the US and Canada (2 W/kg averaged over 10 gram of body tissue in countries adopting the ICNIRP guidelines). She states P 74 In coming up with ways to estimate exposures from cell phones, scientists in 1996 relied on a fellow named SAM, which stands for Standard Anthropomorphic Man (sic). SAM is not an ordinary guy. He ranked in size and mass at the top 10 percent of all military recruits in 1989 weighing more than two hundred pounds, with an eleven-pound head, and standing about six feet two inches tall. P. 75 These standards were set in 1993 and based on SAMs big brain, not for the much smaller heads of children, of women, or other adults.

She implies that regulators and the industry have callously continued to use SAM as the reference, without considering the issue of smaller heads. This is simply not the case. The IEEE 1528 standard for SAM was published in 2003. Dozens of studies have been published comparing the SAR exposures of SAM to various sizes of heads including those of children. Many of these studies have concluded that SAM absorbs more energy than any human head, and is therefore a conservative model for certification tests. For example in Beard et al. 2006 (*11) conducted an international study by 14 laboratories: The results show that when the pinna SAR is calculated separately from the head SAR, SAM produced a higher SAR in the head than the anatomically correct head models. Also the larger (adult) head produced a statistically significant higher peak SAR for both the 1- and 10-g averages than did the smaller (child) head for all conditions of frequency and position. In addition, it should be noted that the established SAR limits have a safety margin of 50X.

The fine print

Davis devotes an entire chapter to the so called warnings in fine print in the user manuals for cell phones. On P. 217 she says: The HTC Droid Eris cell phone from Verizon contains a Product Safety and Warranty Information booklet. On page 11 it is recommended that no part of the human body be allowed to come too close to the antenna during operation of the equipment.To comply with RF exposure requirements, a minimum separation distance of 1.5 cm must be maintained between the users body and the handset. Davis further states: A reader might think it was just a matter of complying with a silly rule that government had produced.

Well yes actually, such a procedure is called for in government regulations (FCC OET Bulletin 65 Supplement C, IEEE Standard 1528 and IEC 62209-1). When cell phones were first developed, they were quite bulky and could not fit into a shirt pocket. They were often carried in a holster and were always used with the phone held to the ear. The original testing standards were written at that time to reflect this. Todays ultra slim iPhones and Blackberries can be carried in a shirt pocket much closer to the body. They are tested and comply with SAR limits when held to the ear (or pinna in technical jargon). However, if the phone is used while near body such as in your shirt pocket, the SAR limit may be exceeded if it is closer than the required test distance of 15 to 25 mm. This is not considered to be a safety issue, since the SAR limit has a 50X safety margin (according to the new IEEE C95.1-2005). It is a technical compliance issue.

Davis implies that cell phone companies have included these fine print warnings as a potential defense in liability lawsuits from brain cancer patients. There is no record of this defense ever having been used in any of current liability suits and none of these lawsuits has yet succeeded. The separation distance is for body worn and not for the head position and therefore is irrelevant to brain cancer.

Expert Groups

Disconnect completely ignores the fact that each of the public health organizations of the industrialized world does regular expert reviews of the scientific literature on EMF and health. Virtually every one of these expert reviews has come to the same conclusion as the World Health Organization that current evidence does not confirm the existence of any health consequences from exposure to low level electromagnetic fields. This conclusion is echoed by the expert reports of the public health organizations of virtually every industrialized country including the American Cancer Society, Health Canada, and the European SCENIHR (* 1 – 5).

Instead, Davis implies that there is a massive worldwide conspiracy to cover up data, and disprove or dismiss the alarmist studies. The book is full of anecdotes about data that was altered, or disappeared, funding that was cut off, and alleged threats. This is the stuff of a Hollywood conspiracy movie. Such a massive conspiracy, involving virtually all the worlds most prestigious health science organizations, is simply not plausible.

Conclusion

Davis and other EMF alarmists are attempting to do an end run around the mainstream scientists responsible for public health standards. They even have their own self appointed organization with the impressive sounding name: International Commission for Electromagnetic Safety (ICEMS). The goal of alarmists is to scare enough members of the public about the dangers of EMF in order to sway politicians to do their bidding. Davis was one of the organizers of a conference held in Washington, DC on Sept. 15, 2009 timed to coincide with Senate hearings on cell phone safety. Such tactics have already achieved some “success” in Europe and a few other countries where politicians have ignored the advice of their own scientists to impose new restrictions on EMF.

Disconnect is a good example of the kind of material used by the EMF alarmist movement. Virtually all the alarmist studies that Davis cites used a poor methodology and/or have not been replicated in follow up studies. In fact, most have been refuted by far more comprehensive and rigorous studies. In many cases, serious flaws have been found with studies that show harm. It is at odds with the conclusions of mainstream expert groups such as the SCENHIR (* 5 P 8): It is concluded from three independent lines of evidence (epidemiological, animal and in vitro studies) that exposure to RF fields is unlikely to lead to an increase in cancer in humans. Disconnect is designed to bamboozle and scare the lay reader, not to inform.

About the Author

Lorne Trottier is a co-founder of Matrox Ltd. and holds B. Eng., M. Eng., and Doctorate (honoris causa) degrees from McGill University. He has had a lifelong passion for science and technology and believes in the importance of combating pseudoscience. He is President of the Board of the Montreal Science Center Foundation, and is also a board member of a number of science outreach organizations including the NCSE, CFI Canada, and The Planetary Society. Trottier sponsors the annual Trottier Symposium at McGill University that deals with a variety of science topics of interest to the public, such as Confronting Pseudoscience. Trottier also maintains a web site on the subject of EMF and Health.

This article has been published in different forms at Skeptic North and EMF & Health.

References

  1. WHO. Electromagnetic Fields and Public Health: Mobile Phones http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs193/en/index.html
  2. WHO. About Electromagnetic Fields http://www.who.int/peh-emf/about/en/
  3. American Cancer Society Cellular Phones http://www.cancer.org/Cancer/CancerCauses/OtherCarcinogens/AtHome/cellular-phones
  4. Health Canada. Safety of Cell Phones and Cell Phone Towers http://www.hc-sc.gc.ca/hl-vs/iyh-vsv/prod/cell-eng.php
  5. European Commission. Health Effects of Exposure to EMF. Opinion of the Scientific Committee on Emerging and Newly Identified Health Risks (SCENIHR) http://ec.europa.eu/health/phrisk/committees/04scenihr/docs/scenihro022.pdf
  6. Statistical tools used to identify scientific misconduct in mobile phone research (REFLEX program) Alexander Lerchl, Adalbert FX Wilhelm http://arxiv.org/abs/0807.2554
  7. Genotoxic effects of exposure to radiofrequency electromagnetic fields (RF-EMF) in cultured mammalian cells are not independently reproducible, Speit et al. Mut Res 626:42 47; 2007 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16997616
  8. Effect of cell phone usage on semen analysis in men attending infertility clinic: an observational study, Agarwal et al. Fertil Steril 2008; 89:124-8. http://www.fertstert.org/article/S0015-0282%2807%2900332-9/abstract
  9. Whole Body Exposure of Rats to Microwaves Emitted From a Cell Phone Does Not Affect the Testes, Dasdag et al. Bioelectromagnetics 24:182^188 (2003) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bem.10083/abstract http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bem.10083/pdf
  10. The Lack of Histological Changes of CDMA Cellular Phone-Based Radio Frequency on Rat Testis, Lee et al. Bioelectromagnetics 31:528^534 (2010) http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bem.20589/abstract
  11. Comparisons of Computed Mobile Phone Induced SAR in the SAM Phantom to That in Anatomically Correct Models of the Human Head, Beard et al. IEEE Trans. Electro Comp, Vol. 48, No. 2, May 2006 http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=1634754
  12. Interphone Study Goup: Brain tumour risk in relation to mobile telephone use: results of the INTERPHONE international casecontrol study. Cardis et al. International Journal of Epidemiology 2010;39:675694 http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/39/3/675.full.pdf
  13. Cellular Telephone Use and Cancer Risk: Update of a Nationwide Danish Cohort, Schz et al. JNCI J Natl Cancer Inst (6 December 2006) 98 (23): 1707-1713 http://jnci.oxfordjournals.org/content/98/23/1707.full
  14. Trends in brain cancer incidence and survival in the U.S.: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program, 1973 to 2001, Deorah et al. Neurosurg Focus 20:1 (2006) http://thejns.org/doi/abs/10.3171/foc.2006.20.4.E1?prevSearch=allfield%253A%2528Deorah%2529&searchHistoryKey=
  15. Analysis of trends in incidence rate of brain tumors from 1992-2006 in U.S., Inskip et al. Neuro Oncol 12(11):1087 (2010) http://neuro-oncology.oxfordjournals.org/content/12/11/1147.abstract?sid=a27c5433-bb37-464f-8f8d-5130bb55b69a
  16. Cellular telephone use and time trends in brain tumour mortality in Switzerland from 1969 to 2002, Roosli et al. Eur J Cancer Prev. 16:77 (2007) http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17220708
  17. Time Trends in Brain Tumor Incidence Rates in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden, 19742003 J Natl Cancer Inst. 2009 Dec 16;101(24):1721-4. http://jnci.oxfordjournals.org/content/101/24/1721.abstract?sid=776da054-2ba3-4894-9b15-a181bc786a4c

Share

Posted via email from The New Word Order

Augmented Reality: The Year in Enhancing Reality

via Beyond The Beyond by Bruce Sterling on 12/31/10

*Goggles that never quite work. Treating cockroach phobia. Hey yeah, have at it!

http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/26990/?nlid=3944

Posted via email from The New Word Order

Pink Floyd’s Space Odyssey

via Dangerous Minds by Marc Campbell on 12/30/10

image
 
Pink Floyd’s ‘Echoes” synchronized with the final 23 minutes of 2001:A Space Odyssey is good for the mind and soul.

Over the years rumors had it that Pink Floyd created “Echoes” as an unofficial soundtrack for the last segment of 2001 ( “Jupiter and Beyond the Infinite”). It’s a nice thought, but not true. That the song and film work so nicely together is just a happy accident.

While videos of the Floyd/Kubrick mashup have been around for awhile, this version is the best I’ve seen. Enjoy it in all of its widescreen glory.
 

{extended}

Posted via email from The New Word Order

The 2010 Climate B.S.* of the Year Award

via Climate Progress by Joe on 12/30/10

Welcome to the 2010 Climate B.S.* of the Year Award.

2010 saw widespread and growing evidence of rapidly warming global climate and strengthening scientific understanding of how humans are contributing to climate change. Yet on the policy front, little happened to stem the growing emissions of greenhouse gases or to help societies prepare for increasingly severe negative climate impacts, including now unavoidable changes in temperature, rainfall patterns, sea-level rise, snowpack, glacial extent, Arctic sea ice, and more. These physical impacts will lead to sharply increased disease, military and economic instabilities, food and water shortages, and extreme weather events, among other things. Without appropriate risk management action, the United States will be hit hard. There is no safe haven. Yet confusion and uncertainty about climate change remain high in the minds of too many members of the public and Congress.

Why? In large part because of a concerted, coordinated, aggressive campaign by a small group of well-funded climate change deniers and contrarians focused on intentionally misleading the public and policymakers with bad science about climate change. Much of this effort is based on intentional falsehoods, misrepresentations, inflated uncertainties, and pure and utter B.S. about climate science. These efforts have been successful in sowing confusion and delaying action – just as the same tactics were successful in delaying efforts to tackle tobacco’s health risks.

To counter this campaign of disinformation, we are issuing the first in what may become a series of awards for the most egregious Climate B.S.* of the Year. In preparing the list of nominees, suggestions were received from around the world and a panel of reviewers – all scientists or climate communicators – waded through them. We present here the top five nominees and the winner of the 2010 Climate B.S.* of the Year Award.

Fifth Place. Climate B.S. and misrepresentations presented by Fox “News.”

There are many examples of bad science, misrepresentations, omissions of facts, and distortions of climate reality coming from Fox “News” (far too many to list here, but we note that Joe Romm just gave Fox his 2010 Citizen Kane Award for “non-excellence in journalism” for their misrepresentations of climate science). It seems that Fox has now made it their policy to deny the reality of climate change and has told its reporters to misreport or cast doubt on the science. This policy of disinformation was implemented by Fox News executive Bill Sammon, who ordered staff to cast doubt on climate data in a memo revealed this month. Fox’s political commentators have long used this tactic in their one-sided and biased discussions on climate change but Sammon’s memo seems to direct News staff to slant reporting in direct contradiction to what the scientific facts and scientists actually say.

Fourth Place. Misleading or false testimony to Congress and policymakers about climate change.

While Congress held more hearings in 2010 on climate change than in other recent years, these hearings elicited some astounding testimonies submitted by climate deniers and skeptics filled with false and misleading statements about climate science and total B.S. Examples?

Long-time climate change skeptic Patrick Michaels testified before the House Science and Technology Committee and misrepresented the scientific understanding of the human role in climate change and the well-understood effects of fundamental climatic factors, such as the effects of visible air pollution. Including these effects (as climate scientists have done for many years) would have completely changed his results. Michaels has misrepresented mainstream climate science for decades, as has been noted here, here, and elsewhere, yet he remains a darling of the skeptics in Congress who like his message.

A newer darling of Congressional climate change deniers is Christopher Monckton, who claims to be a member of the British House of Lords (a claim rejected by the House of Lords). Monckton testified before a Senate committee in May and presented such outlandish B.S. about climate that experts (such as John Mashey, Tim Lambert, John Abraham, and Barry Bickmore, to name a few) spent uncounted hours and pages and pages refuting just a subset of his errors.

Third Place. The false claim that a single weather event, such as a huge snowstorm in Washington, D.C., proves there is no global warming.

In February 2010 a big winter storm dumped record piles of snow on the mid-Atlantic U.S., including Washington, Baltimore, and Philadelphia, prompting climate change deniers to use bad weather to try to discredit the reality of global warming. Limbaugh said, “It’s one more nail in the coffin for the global warming thing.” Oklahoma Senator James Inhofe got attention with an igloo on the national mall and labeled it “Al Gore’s new home” (combining bad science with a personal attack). Senator Jim DeMint said, “It’s going to keep snowing in DC until Al Gore cries ‘uncle.’”

Record snowfall is not an indicator of a lack of global warming, as has been pointed out in the scientific literature and many, many rounds of Congressional testimony. It merely means that there was a storm and temperatures were close to or below freezing. Indeed global warming can contribute to greater snowfalls by providing extra moisture. Many scientists testifying before the Senate and House of Representatives have explained the difference between a steadily warming planet and occasional extreme cold events in particular spots. But we can expect to see more examples of this kind of B.S. when it gets cold and snowy somewhere, sometime, this winter.

Second Place. The claim that the “Climategate” emails meant that global warming was a hoax, or was criminal, as Senator Inhofe tried to argue. In fact, it was none of these things (though the British police are still investigating the illegal hacking of a British university’s computer system and the theft of the emails).

Global warming deniers used out-of-context texts from the stolen emails to claim that global warming was a hoax or that scientists had manipulated data or were hiding evidence that climate change wasn’t happening. These claims are all B.S. A series of independent scientific and academic investigations in the U.S. and the U.K. unanimously concluded that nothing in the stolen emails made any difference to the remarkable strength of climate science (see, for example, the Penn State vindication, the Independent Muir Russell and Lord Oxburgh reviews, a British Parliamentary Panel review, and other assessments). Unfortunately, the media gave far more attention to the accusations than to the resounding vindications, and climate deniers continue to spread B.S. about this case.

The bottom line of “Climategate?” As a letter in Science magazine signed by 255 members of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences said in May 2010: “there is nothing remotely identified in the recent events that changes the fundamental conclusions about climate change.”

AND THE WINNER OF THE 2010 CLIMATE B.S.* OF THE YEAR AWARD

First Place goes to the following set of B.S.: “There has been no warming since 1998” [or 2000, or…], “the earth is cooling,” “global warming is natural,” and “humans are too insignificant to affect the climate.” Such statements are all nonsense and important for the general public to understand properly.

The reality is that the Earth’s climate is changing significantly, changing fast, and changing due to human factors. The reality of climatic change can no longer be disputed on scientific grounds – the U.S. National Academy of Sciences calls the human-induced warming of the Earth a “settled fact.” The evidence for a “warming” planet includes not just rising temperatures, but also rising sea levels, melting Arctic sea ice, disappearing glaciers, increasing intense rainfalls, and many other changes that matter to society and the environment. The recent and ongoing warming of the Earth is unprecedented in magnitude, speed, and cause.

This winning set of B.S. appears almost daily in the conservative blogosphere, like here and here and here, consistently in the statements of climate change deniers, and far too often in real media outlets. Actual science and observations from around globe have long shown the opposite (for example, here and here are nice rebuttals with real science). The planet continues to warm rapidly largely due to human activities, and average global temperatures continue to rise. The most recent decade has been the warmest decade on record and 2010 will likely go down as either the warmest or second warmest year in recorded history.

Associated B.S. argues that the famous “hockey stick” graph has been disproved. This graph shows the extraordinarily rapid warming of the twentieth century compared to the previous 1000 years. The graph and analysis have been upheld by subsequent researchers and numerous scientific assessments, including one from the U.S. National Academy of Sciences.

To the winners: Congratulations, it is long past time your B.S. is recognized for what it is – bad science.

And to the public and the media: Be forewarned — all of these and similar bad arguments will certainly be repeated in 2011. It is long past time that this bad science is identified, challenged, and shown to be the B.S. that it is.

The 2010 Climate Bad Science (B.S.) Detection and Correction Team

Peter Gleick, Kevin Trenberth, Tenney Naumer, Michael Ashley, Lou Grinzo, Gareth Renowden, Paul Douglas, Jan W. Dash, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Brian Angliss, Joe Romm, Peter Sinclair, Michael Tobis, Gavin Schmidt, plus several anonymous nominators, reviewers, and voters.

[* “B.S.” means “Bad Science” doesn’t it?]

For more information, contact Dr. Peter H. Gleick or Nancy Ross, Pacific Institute, 510 725-2385. nross@pacinst.org.

Posted via email from The New Word Order

Top 10 Myths About Evolution (and how we know it really happened)

via Skeptic.com by webmaster on 12/30/10

This concise pamphlet provides answers to common objections to evolution, such as: If humans came from apes, why aren’t apes evolving into humans?; Only an intelligent designer could have made something as complex as an eye; The second law of thermo-dynamics proves that evolution is impossible; Evolution can’t account for morality; and more…

DOWNLOAD the free PDF

Posted via email from The New Word Order

99er, Kerry Tierney, shares a story of disappointment, frustration, fear… an...

via The Layoff List by layofflist on 12/30/10

The story that follows is the partial story of 99er and registered nurse, Kerry Tierney. The first part of this story can be seen at Unemployment Examiner: 99er Kerry Tierney shares a story of disappointment, frustration, fear and hope

In a follow-up letter Kerry expanded on her situation regarding job leads and how a registered nurse may not be in demand.

Times are most very difficult right now, my 14 year old daughter keeps bringing up the homeless shelter, and I believe deep down inside she is terrified of us ending up there.  To be honest, so am I.  I don’t have any other options up my sleeve, and have written the government until my fingertips hurt.  Sometimes for up to 14 hours a day I have sent emails to Congress, the Ways and Means Committee, and so forth.  They keep telling me it will take “time.”  Time is the one thing that is not currently on our side, especially with the landlord breathing down our necks.  I saw a news blurb today about the government potentially helping Americans out with their mortgages, but nothing in that piece about persons who rent apartments. There used to be a thing known as Section 8 in Illinois, but that has been closed, with no word of it ever opening up again.  Section 8 might have been an option for us.  I have also looked into federal grants – nothing available there either for rentals.

As far as  me being a registered nurse and out of work, I believe part of the mystery lies in my age.  I am almost 50, have been out of work for over 2 years, and potential employers are hesitant to hire me.  I have NOT gotten one phone call or email from a potential employer for an RN position since I began my search almost 2 1/2 years ago!  Not one!  How odd?  I do not understand it either.  My educated guess would be that the employers are hiring new graduates, so they can pay them less and have to earn their benefits (health insurance, etc.) after 90 days employment.  Just a guess.  I have heard the same thing from other nurses as well.  In Illinois, it seems we are at a total stand still with jobs.  My only other guess would be that people are working 2 and 3 jobs, leaving none for the others that are still searching?

I did get a nibble of an invitation, on Dec 23, 2010 for a possible medical transcription position opening up recruiting in Jan of 2011.  I sent my resume and am waiting to hear back from them.  I just finished my MT (medical transcription) course in Oct of 2010. No experience equals no job. Oh, do you wanna hear another kicker?  My MT instructor, upon completion of my course, wrote me an email saying that and I quote, “most employers will not hire retired or disabled nurses as medical transcriptionists” because “they are notoriously bad spellers.”  She went on to say that one employer posted on her site, “if you are a nurse do not even bother to apply!”  Can you imagine my shock upon reading this?  Why did she not bother to tell me this PRIOR to my taking the MT course?  I think I know the answer to this, for the money, of course!  I have not given up hope however, I just keep on looking – in spite of what she had to say.

I am stumped however, with 2 degrees from college, I should be able to find ONE job!?  In October of 2011, I will be able to drive a school bus again, like I did back in college.  I have to wait because the State has to pass you – some kind of driving release.  I am ineligible for this job because I had some financial problems 2 1/2 years ago, could not afford my car insurance for 2 months, so I had to apply for SR 22 because I was driving on a suspended license and had no idea!  Anyway, I will be able to drive the bus again in approximately 10 months.  I have never had any tickets, accidents, DUI’s, nothing on my driver’s license – except for that one instance.  I have applied for some local driving jobs…but nothing yet.

These are basically the three things I know how to do for work.  I have experience with nursing and driving, but no MT experience (outside of college).  I will work hard, and try to give any potential employer my best effort.  The ideal job would be to work in the transcription field, either from an office or from home.  I am still looking Mike, every day.  I know something will turn up.  It has to!  I want to work so much!  I want to earn a paycheck again.  I want to be able to provide for my daughter and myself.  I always thought that by becoming a nurse, I would be set for life, but I am finding that this is not the case.

I asked Kerry to send me her resume to post here. If you are aware of anyone who may be interested in hiring Kerry or helping out her family during this difficult period, please send her a note.

Kerry Tierney

•   Naperville, IL                          Email Address:    Tierneykkt@att.net

ÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽÍĽ

Objective: To continue in the practice of my profession where I can be of constructive help in

accordance with my background, training, and experience.

Work History:

2008 to Present      Attended school for Medical Transcription Certificate Program.

2006-2008              Nightingale Home Healthcare, Burr Ridge, IL

Home Health RN – RN case manager performed home visits throughout Chicago and

suburbs; admissions, labs, record keeping, and patient care.

2005-2006             Maxim for Healthcare Services, Naperville, IL

Agency RN      – Performed patient care at various hospitals, LTC’s, MD offices,

etc.; also cared for 11-year-old child with trach and G-tube.

2002-2004             Health Systems of Illinois, Lombard, IL

Utilization Review Case Manager – Performed telephonic chart review for Illinois

Department of Public Aid, utilized ICD-9 codes.

1999-2000             Central DuPage Hospital, Winfield, IL

Pre-Admission RN – Interviewed patients prior to procedure for Anesthesiology

Department; worked directly with Anesthesiologists.

1996-1999             Delnor Community Hospital, Geneva, IL

Same-Day Surgery RN – Post Surgical Unit RN – Patient care for pre and post

surgery, and med/surg patient care; also charge nurse duties.

1990-1995             Mercy Center for Healthcare Services, Aurora, IL

Hematology/Oncology– Infectious Disease – Post Surgical Unit RN

Administered Chemotherapy, med/surg patient care: also charge

nurse duties; served 2 years on Unit Advisory Committee focused

on QA; became certified in Oncology; assisted unit manager

with candidate interviews.

Education: 2009-2010             Waubonsee Community College, Aurora, IL

Medical Transcription Certificate Program

1987-1990             College of DuPage, Glen Ellyn, IL

Associate Degree in Nursing, Dean’s list, Honor Student 4.0 GPA

References: Available upon request.

Educated, talented, dedicated professionals of all types are having a difficult time finding work. This is not for a lack of effort. The employment situation in the US is not designed to help the millions of long-term unemployed reenter the workforce. Limited retraining opportunities, as in Kelly’s case, poor credit scores, length of time unemployed and age all factor into a deteriorating jobs picture for the long-term unemployed.

Now that the president and Congress have addressed the needs of the wealthy and the connected, it’s time to address the needs of the long-term unemployed. American cannot get back on track unless Americans are able to get back to work.

Wishing you all a prosperous 2011.

Do you have a story you’d like to tell? were you rejected during the hiring process for being unemployed. Have you been the victim of a temp agency that won’t give you an interview because you are unemployed? Have you seen jobs ads for “employed only” or “unemployed need not apply”? Have you lost a chance at a job due to a poor credit score? Send your job rejection experiences and unemployment stories to mike@layofflist.org.

You can also view my updates and new posts at Twitter: http://twitter.com/layofflist

Huffington Post

Huffington Post is kind enough to give me a chance to post my work at their site. I hope to be able to spread the 99er word using their larger audience. You can see my efforts at: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-thornton.


Posted via email from The New Word Order

Vision: How We Can Mobilize the Unemployed for a Massive Economic Movement

via AlterNet by The Nation on 12/30/10

The recession has created the perfect environment for a new social movement, but the unemployed have to combine a proud and angry identity with concrete targets.

Posted via email from The New Word Order

So where are the jobs? (And are they ever coming back?)

via DownWithTyranny! by KenInNY on 12/30/10

We've already thanked Mike Keefe and R. J. Matson and of course Tom Tomorrow for another year's worth of inspiring cartooning. Here's the appropriate hat tip to the great Pat Bagley.

by Ken

I've been futzing around with a post about the sleight-of-hand the entrenched opponents of Social Security as we know it pulled with the innocent-seeming "payroll-tax holiday" built into the "compromise" tax package. Earlier in the week I got waylaid by by a column by Michael Gerson, "Face Social Security," which packs in more lies and obfuscations per column inch than even the docile corporatist whore Mr. Gerson customarily manages. The obvious thought was that the Gerson column needed to be raised in connection with the Social Security heist Mr. G's owners are closing in on, and obviously it does. Then it occurred to me, perhaps prodded by an assist from this week's "Financial Page" by The New Yorker's financial columnist, James Surowiecki, that the Gerson column has a more immediate importance, for an accidental bit of truth that slipped in.

As I read the Surowiecki piece, "The Jobs Crisis," playing in the back of my head was this eye-popping paragraph from our Mikey G:

The main achievements of the lame-duck session of Congress were reminders of what might have been. President Obama gave something to get something. To secure a second stimulus, he accepted Republican economic methods. To pass the New START treaty, Obama offered assurances to Republican senators on nuclear modernization and missile defense. Contrast this with health-care reform, imposed in party-line maneuvers that left an aftertaste of ideological radicalism.

Considering how hard our Mikey has worked to ensure that every single word is a lie, I feel bad having to point out the clearly inadvertent truth that slipped in. As anyone knows who isn't (a) an absolute moron or (b) a paid-up whore of the economic elite, describing the "compromise package" as including "a second stimulus" is a mischaracterization so complete as to constitute an out-and-out, knowing falsehood. And the president didn't provide "assurances" to the sociopathic senators fighting New START; what he did was a clumsy two-step of humoring their mental illnesses and buying them off.

And you'd think that not even as blithely shameless a liar as Mikey G was capable of maintaining Obama health care package contains even a micrograin of "ideological radicalism." Before Republicans decided to embrace the imbecility and insanity so prized by their financial masters, the "ideology" of the health care package essentially written by the insurance industry (with the drug industry already having been bought off, leaving effectively nothing left to fight for) is old-style moderately conserative Republicanism. You'd think that after spewing so much ignorance and dishonesty in such a tiny paragraph, our Mikey would be too ashamed to show his corrupt caracass in public. But the corker is that morsel of truth:

"he accepted Republican economic methods."

And this, alas, is the God's honest truth. But again, you'd think that hired whores like Mikey G would have the discretion to keep their trap shut about "Republican economic methods," now that the wholly bought-off Republican Party has made clear what those principles are: that the U.S. economy exists only for the well-being of its masters, with everyone else -- apart from the government and media whores paid to do their dirty work -- being relegated to the status of slaves, except without even the degree of responsibility once accepted by the slave-holding class for maintaining the physical survival of its property.

And it turns out that the Obama administration is cool with it.

Republican economic methods are tried-and-true winners at causing recessions and depressions, which really doesn't worry them because they understand that only the nonprivileged classes consider recessions and depressions. For the people who matter, which is to say the people for whose exclusive benefit the American economy is now structured, recessions and depressions, like disasters generally, are a bonanza, as long as you know how to play them right. As witness the current boom times the financial-services-industry types who produce nothing more substantial, even at their most productive, than "deals."

So they've been made whole -- by taxpayers -- and at this very moment are gorging themselves on their year's unearned, stolen "bonuses" while the rest of the country either ekes out a survival existence or doesn't. The official philosophy of the Republicans' (and of course most of Democratic officialdom's) masters toward the rest of the country is: Go perform an unnatural act on yourself. A certain percentage of the rest of us lucky duckies will be allowed to slave away for whatever pocket change our masters consider fair, and if we don't like it, well, what's massive unemployment for if not to make us all feel eminently replaceable?

The question The New Yorker's James Surowiecki is pursuing in his piece this week is: Given that "the recession has been over for more than a year now,"

"Why have new jobs been so hard to come by?"

There are, broadly, two markedly contrasting views:

One view blames cyclical economic factors: at times when everyone is cautious about spending, companies are slow to expand capacity and take on more workers. But another, more skeptical account has emerged, which argues that a big part of the problem is a mismatch between the jobs that are available and the skills that people have. According to this view, many of the jobs that existed before the recession (in home building, for example) are gone for good, and the people who held those jobs don’t have the skills needed to work in other fields. A big chunk of current unemployment, the argument goes, is therefore structural, not cyclical: resurgent demand won’t make it go away.

And it matters, urgently.
If the problem is a lack of demand, policies that boost demand—fiscal stimulus, aggressive monetary policy—will help. But if unemployment is mainly structural there’s little we can do about it: we just need to wait for the market to sort things out, which is going to take a while.

Now I don't know about you, but the "structural" argument prompts an immediate visceral response from me:

(1) What are all these jobs "in other fields" that no one knows about?

(2) Where are all these jobs "in other fields" that no one knows about?

(3) How is it that no one knows about all these imaginary jobs?

And sure enough, Surowiecki argues that, plausbile though the structural argument may sound,

[T]here’s surprisingly little evidence for it. If the problems with the job market really were structural, you’d expect job losses to be heavily concentrated in a few industries, the ones that are disappearing as a result of the bursting of the bubble. And if there were industries that were having trouble finding enough qualified workers, you’d expect them to have lots of job vacancies, and to be paying their existing workers more and working them longer hours.

As it happens, you don’t see any of those things. Instead, jobs have been lost and hiring is slow almost across the board. Payrolls were slashed by five per cent or more not just in the bubble categories of construction and finance but also in manufacturing, retail, wholesale, transportation, and information technology. And take hiring: one of the industries that have been most cautious is the hotel and leisure business. Needless to say, there’s no shortage of people with the skills to be maids or waiters; there just isn’t enough work. Another sure sign of weak demand is that people with jobs aren’t deluged with overtime; hours worked have barely budged in the past year.


Professional liars like "Sunny John" Boehner and Dicky "The Sheik of Alabama" Shelby and their party of economic ignoramuses and thugs blither that all we need to do is get government out of the way and let "small business" do its thing. Of course the ignoramuses don't know what they're talking about, and the thugs unfortunately do -- they're just slinging the lingo to hornswoggle the economically shut-out masses, now for the first time reaching way up into the middle class. Probably the fantasy of the ignoramuses and thugs alike is the "miracle" of the "Celtic Tiger," the orgy of unabashed criminal collusion between government and the private sector to squeeze every squeezable euro out of the economy and into their pockets. We mustn't forget what slavering admirers of the Irish miracle the American right-wingers were, up to the time it all unraveled and the whole house of cards collapsed.

As it happens, Surowiecki deals with the myth of salvation via small business. Economists at the Cleveland Federal Reserve, he notes, have found that, as in previous recessions,

there are as few job vacancies as you’d expect, given how desperate people are for work. The percentage of small businesses with so-called “hard-to-fill” job vacancies is near a twenty-five-year low, and open jobs are being filled quickly. And one recent study showed that companies’ “recruiting intensity” has dropped sharply, probably because the fall-off in demand means that they don’t have a pressing need for new workers.

What's more, the argument that massive unemployment is the result of structural rather than cyclical factors isn't new. "It’s a perennial: nearly every recession leads pundits to proclaim that the job market is facing structural challenges, and that higher unemployment is here to stay." It was trotted out in the 1981-82 recession.
Yet, by 1984, unemployment was back to where it had been before recession hit. A 1964 survey of economists found that more than half believed structural issues were playing a significant role in limiting the number of jobs; three years later, unemployment was below four per cent.

Surowiecki doesn't discount the reality of structural change in the economy. ("[T]here are certainly plenty of construction workers who are going to have start plying a new trade.")
But what defined the recent recession was the biggest decline in consumption and investment since the Depression. Dealing with that is the place to start if we want to do something about unemployment.

It's important to stress that Surowiecki isn't any sort of wild-eyed liberal. In fact, I've never heard anyone of a progressive persuasion say a kind word about his writing. I like it because it usually makes economic (and real-world) sense to me, and though he doesn't exactly come out and say so, the impulse behind those advancing the "structural" argument isn't economic -- because from an economic standpoint the argument is indefensible -- but political. Sunny John Boehner and Sheik Dick Shelby don't give a damn about the American people, or even the portion of the American people they represent. Their allegiance is to the moneyed classes whose payrolls they're on. And this is what we have to understand by Mikey G's truly explosive phrase "Republican economic methods." Pillage and plunder would be another way of describing those methods.

Here's how Surowiecki concludes his consideration of where the jobs have gone:

The structural argument makes government action seem irrelevant. But if we don’t do more to get the economy back up to speed, it won’t be because stimulating demand won’t work. It will be because we’ve chosen not to do it. If we can’t find the way, it’s because we don’t have the will.

POSTSCRIPT: AN EXCELLENT READING RESOURCE --
THE CORPORATISTS' BIGGEST LIES OF 2010

Excellent piece by Les Leopold on AlterNet: "Wall St's 10 Biggest LIes of 2010."
What a great year for Wall Street: profits up, bonuses up and, best of all, criticism down, especially from Washington. Somehow Wall Street has much of America believing its lies and rationalizations. We're even beginning to forget that Wall Street is largely responsible for the economic mess we're in.

So before we're completely overtaken by financial Alzheimer's, let's revisit Wall Street's greatest fabrications for 2010.


Leopold starts with the obvious No. 1 lie, "Honest, we didn't do it!" And while denying "all culpability," they "pointed the finger everywhere else."
Sadly, their blame-shifting strategy worked, bamboozling the media and people across the political spectrum. The GOP members of the Financial Crisis Commission are so drunk with this Kool-Aid that in their minority report, they refuse even to use the words "Wall Street" or "speculation" in assessing the causes of the crash. Hypocrites? Crooks? Morons? Take your pick.

He proceeds to some of the more familiar lies, and some of the more eccentric ones, and of course the shiftier ones that may be true but not in the way the elites mean. There is, for example, the president's "hard truth": "that getting this deficit under control is going to require some broad sacrifice, and that sacrifice must be shared by employees of the federal government." "But not by Wall Street," Leopold adds.
Mr. President, the "hard truth" is that you're slapping around public sector workers because you don't have the nerve to take on Wall Street. If you had the guts, you could raise real money by going to war with Steven Schwartzman and eliminating the hedge fund tax loophole. By the way, closing that loophole for just the top 25 hedge fund managers would raise twice the revenue than you'll get by freezing the wages of all two million federal workers!

There's a lot more, targeting not just "Tiny Tim" Geithner but the latest stud in the corporatist-whore stable Peter Orszag, and the popular right-wing canard that the unemployed choose to be jobless. Yeah, right. This way they can live the high life off of unemployment benefits, while moving their families into tents after losing their homes.
#

Posted via email from The New Word Order